Household Leverage and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from a Macroprudential Mortgage Restriction

Lun, 24/01/2022 - 12:00 / 13:00

203, Viale Romania

Speaker: Gazi Kabas , University of Zurich


Does household leverage matter for worker job search, matching in the labor market, and wages?Theoretically, household leverage can have opposing effects on the labor market through debt-overhang and liquidity constraint channels. To test which channel dominates empirically, we exploit the introduction of a loan-to-value ratio restriction in Norway that exogenously reduces household leverage. Focusing on a sample of displaced workers who bought a house before losing their jobs due to mass layoffs, we find that a reduction in leverage raises the subsequent wages of these workers. Lower leverage enables workers to search longer, find jobs in higher-paying firms, and switch into new occupations and industries. The positive effect on wages is persistent and more pronounced for young and highly-educated workers who are more likely to benefit from the effects of a reduction in leverage on job search. Our results indicate that in addition to reducing financial stability risks, policies limiting household leverage can improve workers' labor market outcomes.